Matthew J. Keeling

Dept of Biological Sciences & Maths Institute

University of Warwick, Gibbet Hill Rd.

Coventry, CV4 7AL.  UK

M.J.Keeling@warwick.ac.uk

http://www.maths.warwick.ac.uk/~keeling

Understanding local structure in epidemics:

Networks and pair-wise approximations

 

 

In recent years it has been realised that spatial heterogeneity and the spatial patterns that emerge from localised interactions are vital in determining the dynamics of many ecological and epidemiological processes. For the spread of infectious agents, the spread is governed by a network of potential transmission routes. Traditionally understanding such problems have been tackled using large scale spatial simulation, however pair-wise approximations offer an alternative more analyitcal approach which often provides greater insights. I shall discuss how these two techniques allow us to understand the role of local structure and transmission in epidemic.